Here are my Oscar picks:
Best Picture: Crash
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Supporting Actor: George Clooney (Syriana)
Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco (Crash)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Dan Futterman (Capote) c'mon - do not let this man's biggest claim to fame be as the brother on "Judging Amy"!!!
Best Foreign Language Film: Paradise Now
Best Documentary: March of the Penguins (unless there is a gay penguin backlash among Academy voters...)
Best Animated Feature: Wallace and Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit
Best Art Direction: Memoirs of a Geisha
Best Cinematography: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Original Score: Memoirs of a Geisha
Best Original Song: "Travelin' Thru" (Dolly Parton - Transamerica)
Best Costume Design: Memoirs of a Geisha
Best Visual Effects: King Kong
Best part of my picks here? Of all the films I've chosen above, I've only seen Good Night, and Good Luck, Crash, and Paradise Now. A sorry state of affairs for a movie junkie. I've just been too beat and too broke to see 'em all. But the three I have seen? Excellent.
Let's see how far off the mark I am...